In 2025, the Danish Government announced it would revisit its 1985 exclusion of nuclear power from energy planning. This study argues the question is broader than nuclear alone: climate neutrality does not prescribe one technology mix, so Quantified Carbon modelled several structurally different Danish power systems for 2050, centred on offshore wind, nuclear and a balanced mix, and tested them across 33 historical weather years and an extreme cold, low-wind event. All scenarios cut emissions by 82% and remain heavily wind-dominated, and their costs are close and uncertain. The real difference is where the risk sits: offshore wind carries revenue risk, while nuclear carries capital-cost and delivery risk. A balanced mix spreads both. Because Denmark is so closely interconnected with Europe, the level of self-sufficiency it wants is a policy choice, not an output of cost optimisation. The study does not name a single best system, but aims to move the debate from a binary technology choice to what each system requires and how its risks are shared.

20/10/26
System Studies / System Modelling






